Skip navigation
Site powered by
Latest news:
msnbc.com: Top msnbc.com headlines: 9 die in Kosovo avalanche; child survives

Poker made simple: What’s he got?

Countless questions abound when cards fall, not all answers are simple

This is the second of three columns that I have audaciously titled “Poker made simple.” In truth, I think that this series demonstrates that poker is simple on the surface and underneath the still waters, very complex. The basic question is always simple: “Should I raise, call, bet, or fold?” The questions you might consider to answer this simple question are very numerous and difficult.

What are the variables?

In the first installment in this series I explained a simple truth about poker: math defines the most profitable play you can make in a given situation if you know all the variables. Forgetting about math for a moment, what are the variables? What questions could you consider when deciding to answer the simple basic question: “Should I raise, call, bet, or fold?” Off the top of my head I came up with a short list of twenty, the answers to which might affect the outcome of a poker hand:

How many opponents am I facing? What are my cards? What is the best possible hand? How likely am I to have the best hand? Has the player in seat three been drinking? Have I been drinking? How long has the player in seat seven been playing? How long have I been playing? Is the player in seat six playing a higher limit than she is accustomed to? Who won the last pot? How many cups of coffee has the player in seat nine had? What does the tattoo on the forearm of the player in seat 10 mean? What cards are on the flop? Does the player in seat four have more money in his wallet or is it all on the table? What does my opponent think I have? Are the players in seats one and two married to each other? Did the dealer flash a card? Does the player in seat four think “kings are running?” Is the player in seat five angry at the player in seat nine? How much will my hotel room cost me tonight?

You might think that some of these questions could not possibly affect the outcome of a poker hand. Obviously, some are more important than others, but any one of them could be important. How much will my room cost me tonight? If I have my last $200 on the table and my room costs $150 then I better not lose more than another $50 before I quit.

If that is the case then it may affect what cards I choose to play. If I am scared of losing then I will probably play tighter than I otherwise would.

Is the player in seat three drunk? Generally, when a player is drunk he plays looser than usual. Herein lays the clue as to why these questions could be important. How does anything — position, number of opponents, sobriety, anything — affect what cards your opponent will play and how he will play them? All of the questions that could affect the outcome of a hand of poker do so because they may alter the cards that you will play, or that your opponents will play. Also, they may alter how you and your opponents will play them.

Slide show: The Week in Sports Pictures
QUALLS GIPSON
  Oct. 3 - 9
Images from the baseball playoffs, NFL, college football, and more.
What’s he got and what will he do with it?

Back to the original hypothesis for a moment: math defines the most profitable play you can make in a given situation if you know all the variables. Since you know what your cards are and you know what the board cards are, the only variables you are interested in are:

(1)   What are my opponent’s cards?

(2)    How will he play them?

What’s he got and what will he do with it? If you have multiple opponents then you are asking yourself what each of them has and how each of them will play?


advertisement
More news
Image: Pekingese Palacegarden Malachy trots in ring at the 135th Westminster Kennel Club Dog Show in New York
Reuters
Pekingese favored to be top dog

Robins: It’s the Year of the Dragon on the Lunar calendar, and this Chinese influence could extend to it also being the year of the Pekingese on the green carpet at the 136th Westminster Dog Show on Tuesday.

NY cable dispute blacks out Knicks, 4 NHL teams

NEW YORK (AP) - As the glow fades from the Giants' Super Bowl triumph, some New York sports fans are tuning in to basketball and hockey, with the Rangers in first place and the Knicks' overnight sensation, Jeremy Lin, sparking "Lin-sanity.''

Image:
AP
Six new breeds will join show at Westminster

Robins: This year, six new breeds will be making their debut on the green carpet for the Westminster Dog Show, which begins Monday.

Slide show
Image: Snee, 8, son of New York Giants player Chris Snee and head coach Coughlin's grandson plays in the confetti after the New York Giants defeated the New England Patriots in the NFL Super Bowl XLVI football game in Indianapolis
  The Week in Sports Pictures
The Giants on top of the football world, getting ready for the London Olympics and more.

more photos

Slideshow
Boston Celtics v Indiana Pacers
  Who's hot on Twitter?
Check out which of your favorite athletes have the best pages and most followers!

NBCSports.com

Special feature
"American Woman: Fashioning A National Identity" Met Gala - Arrivals
When athletes and celebs get together
A look at the many links between sports and Hollywood stars.

NBCSports.com

Slideshow
Image: To match Special Report CAMPAIGN/ROMNEY-OLYMPICS
  Presidential candidates and sports
How do President Obama and his Republican rivals stack up when it comes to their sports backgrounds?