Skip navigation
Site powered by
Latest news:
msnbc.com: Top msnbc.com headlines: Mystery disease claims thousands in Central America

Canadiens made right call in dealing Halak

Montreal minimizes risk, whereas St. Louis gambles on still limited sample

Image: Canadiens vs CapitalsAP
Montreal Canadiens goalie Jaroslav Halak, of Slovakia, celebrates the team's 2-1 win as Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin (8), of Russia, skates off after Game 7 of the NHL hockey playoff series, Wednesday, April 28, 2010, in Washington. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

The Canadiens made headlines Thursday in dealing away Jaroslav Halak, arguably the best player of the 2010 NHL postseason, to the Blues for two prospects. This has led to shock and anger by Canadiens fans and jubilation for some Blues fans. That means this is an open-and-shut case. Canadiens get fleeced; Blues come out smelling like roses, right?

That’s a nice narrative, but reality sings a different tune. The Habs are the team minimizing risk, whereas the Blues are gambling on a very good but still limited sample. After one great season, Halak is no sure bet for anything going forward.

Recent memories are always the strongest, so it’s natural for people to believed the Canadiens made a terrible mistake. How could they deal the goalie that backstopped them to two enormous upset wins in the Stanley Cup playoffs over two of the best teams the Eastern Conference had to offer?

But a look at the goalie market reveals why the Canadiens made the right call. Specifically, look at what goalies are getting paid.

The five highest-paid goalies in the NHL are Henrik Lundqvist, Cam Ward, Ryan Miller, Jean-Sebastien Giguere and Niklas Backstrom. Of that group, two, Lundqvist and Miller, are worth it. Ward might be one day, but he has not shown himself to be anywhere near elite so far. Backstrom had three great seasons before he cratered. Giguere is a giant expiring contract at this point.

The next five in salary are Miikka Kiprusoff, Tomas Vokoun, Cristobal Huet, Roberto Luongo and Martin Brodeur. Vokoun is among the NHL's best goalies. Luongo was, though his deal could turn Giguere-level ugly in the next few years as he ages. Brodeur was great but has declined. Kiprusoff was great this season but was mediocre the two prior seasons. Huet has one of the NHL's worst contracts.

The next five are Tim Thomas, Marc-Andre Fleury, Rick DiPietro, Jonas Hiller and Ilya Bryzgalov. Thomas is decent but lost his starting job last season. Fleury was awful, DiPietro is the equivalent of flushing $4.5 million down the toilet, Hiller might be a steal and Bryzgalov had a great season after a mediocre one.

What does this all mean? Of the15 top-salaried goalies for next year, four are worth their contracts. The rest range from inconsistent to wastes of cap space. This list also doesn't include four players with bad contracts that expire July 1 — Marty Turco, Evgeni Nabokov, Jose Theodore and Vesa Toskala.

Of that group, the only goalies who haven’t posted a season as good as Halak’s are DiPietro, Ward and Toskala. All of these goalies have had elite years in the past. But most never could repeat it.

Essentially, fans who are flabbergasted by the Halak deal don’t understand why Canadiens GM Pierre Gauthier wouldn't sign Halak to a long-term extension. There is the reason. Halak's career is nice but no lock to continue that way. He could go Hiller. But he could just as easily go Marc-Andre Fleury. For comparison’s sake, take a look at Fleury’s 2007-08 compared to Halak’s 2009-10.

Fleury: Regular season, 35 games, .940 save percentage. Playoffs, 20 games, .939 save percentage.

Halak: Regular season, 45 games, .933 save percentage. Playoffs, 18 games, .933 save percentage.

Halak played eight more games, but the difference isn’t much. Fleury was the top pick in the 2003 draft, so that was seen as a fulfillment of potential rather than a rather good run over a small sample. Right now it looks like like the latter instead.

Gauthier looked at the situation and decided that investing in a goalie with upside but plenty of risk wasn’t worth his money. He also saw he had a goalie who has been about as good in Carey Price, whom likely can be had for substantially less coin. So Gauthier cashed out of Halak when his value was high and took the prospects. Now instead of having two goalies, one with with a large contract, Gauthier in theory has a good prospect and a solid goalie who will make not so much money.

Meanwhile, the Blues believe they have their franchise goalie. But as the list above shows, they’re not the first team to think that only to find out otherwise.

The bottom line? Goaltender is hockey's most important position, but the NHL teams have not shown themselves to be the greatest adjudicators of talent. The list of failures exceeds the success stories when teams invest heavily at the position.

With that in mind, the Canadiens might have taken a public relations risk. But in terms of the business of hockey, Gauthier made the right move.

© 2012 Sporting News

advertisement
Video: NHL from NBC Sports
Gretzky says Cup race is wide open
In the latest NHL Network news update, Hall of Famer Wayne Gretzky talks about the division races and how 22 teams have a shot to win it all this year.

Slideshow
Image: Chicago Blackhawks Marian Hossa of Team Chara celebrates his goal with New York Rangers Marion Gaborik during the NHL All-Star hockey game in Ottawa
  NHL All-Stars
Take a look at the players who competed in Team Chara's 12-9 victory over Team Alfredsson.

more photos

Slideshow
Image: Stanley Cup Finals - Pittsburgh Penguins v Detroit Red Wings - Game Seven
  Sid the Kid
Penguins captain Sidney Crosby has gone from phenom to Stanley Cup champion.

more photos

Slideshow
Image: Washington Capitals Ovechkin celebrates his goal against the Montreal Canadiens during Game 5 in Washington
  Alexander the Great
Take a look at Capitals star and two-time MVP Alexander Ovechkin

more photos

Slideshow
Pamela Anderson
  Celebrity fans
Some of Hollywood's hottest celebrities take in NHL games.
Slideshow
Colorado Avalanche v Anaheim Ducks
  Icy Hot
Check out the ice girls from around the National Hockey League.

more photos

Slideshow
Image: Snee, 8, son of New York Giants player Chris Snee and head coach Coughlin's grandson plays in the confetti after the New York Giants defeated the New England Patriots in the NFL Super Bowl XLVI football game in Indianapolis
  The Week in Sports Pictures
The Giants on top of the football world, getting ready for the London Olympics and more.

more photos