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Borderline teams face tough calls on free agency

Mariners, Mets, Marlins must decide whether to buy or sell

Seattle Mariners v New York YankeesGetty Images
Jarrod Washburn of the Mariners would make a good Plan B for a team that doesn't land Roy Halladay.

To buy or to sell? That is the question numerous teams have to answer before next Friday's non-waiver trading deadline.

For front-runners such as the Red Sox and Yankees, the decision to buy — that is, to take on salary to improve the roster for the stretch run — is obvious. For clubs less certain about staying in contention, the decision is tougher.

Mariners general manager Jack Zduriencik says at least 10 factors are considered, including, "How many clubs do you have to climb over? What physical condition are you in, and what physical condition are the clubs ahead or behind you in? What is your financial situation? What status does it leave your organization in for the years to come? To add a piece, you must ask: 'What piece are you getting in return and is it big enough to make that impact you need?' What are other ballclubs offering you in return for what you give up? If you overpay, how big is that overpay? If you rent a player, what is the compensation, if any, for that player if he is a free agent?"

In other words, "A lot goes into a simple question," adds Zduriencik, whose club is among those with a choice to make.

Mariners
Where they stand: Seattle has been one of the season's best stories. They are seven games over .500 a year after losing 101 games. Pitching has made the difference, as the Mariners own the American League's best ERA (3.65). But their paltry offense — practically a two-man show with right fielder Ichiro Suzuki and first baseman Russell Branyan — puts the Mariners at a significant disadvantage in their pursuit of the division title and the wild card.

Bottom line: The Mariners should sell one of their lefthanded starters, Jarrod Washburn or Erik Bedard, for young bats. Both southpaws will be free agents after the season, and the club probably can't afford both, especially considering it already is on the hook for at least two more years and $23 million for righthander Carlos Silva. Washburn's value never has been higher, and he would make a solid Plan B for a club that misses out on Blue Jays ace Roy Halladay.

Mets
Where they stand: Injuries to three (center fielder Carlos Beltran, shortstop Jose Reyes, first baseman Carlos Delgado) of their four best hitters have derailed their season. At six games under .500, the Mets trail the Phillies by 10.5 games and are tied for eighth in the wild-card chase. But after falling just short of the postseason the past two years, the Mets are reluctant to give up hope. If their big bats can return in August, they still would have time to make a charge to save their season and manager Jerry Manuel's job.

Bottom line: Any move the Mets make should be as much about next season as this one. They are unlikely to become sellers, though, for two reasons: Giving up on the season does not play in New York, and they don't have much to deal.

Marlins
Where they stand: After a roller-coaster start — 11-1 followed by 8-24 — the Marlins have won 16 of their past 27 games to close within 3 1/2 games of the N.L. wild-card lead. But this isn't the first time the Marlins have teased. They often have the talent but rarely the experience to win the big games down the stretch.

Bottom line: With last week's ground-breaking, the Marlins finally can do more than dream about a new ballpark. But the park isn't scheduled to open until 2012, so they remain unlikely to take on any significant salaries for another year or two. One Marlin drawing interest from contenders: outfielder Cody Ross.

© 2012 Sporting News

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