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Of playoff wannabes, Thunder set to succeed

But Knicks, Clippers, Grizzlies, Kings among teams with bleak futures

Image: DurantAP
Kevin Durant and the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the rise, NBCSports.com contributor Ira Winderman writes.

Phoenix: The shelf life is one more season. That's when Shaquille O'Neal's contract expires and when Steve Nash hits free agency, with Amare Stoudemire possibly to join him on the market.

That's when everything will change in the Valley.

Will the Suns try to ride out this high-octane, defense-be-damned thrill show for one more season?

That will come down to a trickle-down theory.

If owner Bob Sarver keeps general manager Steve Kerr, and if Kerr keeps coach Alvin Gentry, the Suns should at least be on the cusp of the playoffs.

Indiana: Is there any there there, with a roster that will continue to rely on Danny Granger, Mike Dunleavy, Troy Murphy and T.J. Ford?

They are all nice players, but beyond Granger, who strikes fear?

Oh, the 2009-10 Pacers will compete for Jim O'Brien, pull off the occasional upset, be just good enough to avoid a decent lottery seed, but the cap space isn't there for 2010 and neither is any discernable sign of being headed either up or down.

2010 lottery bound
New York:
Having exposed itself to so much misery this season amid visions of the 2010 free-agent grail, the Knicks cannot back off now.

That means dicey free-agency dealings with David Lee and Nate Robinson, and probably even more of the on-court entertainment that is Danilo Gallinari and Chris Duhon.

That is no winning formula.

L.A. Clippers: This is one of those fantasy-league teams you draft figuring all those names have to add up to something.

Barring trades, Baron Davis, Marcus Camby, Chris Kaman, Zach Randolph and Eric Gordon all will be back.

That just might be enough to cash in with your rotisserie team. But as a real cast, that group showed absolutely no life this season. Why, especially if Mike Dunleavy remains as coach, should change in the standings be expected?

Memphis: Nothing to see here folks, just a bunch of names congregating for the short term before anyone who's any good leaves as a free agent.

The youngsters have been fine, but all seemingly have a ceiling that does not come close to superstar. And this is the Western Conference, where good is not nearly good enough.

Golden State: How did Nellie manage to so quickly suck the life out of this group?

Just two years ago, this was the league's "clear vision" team. Now the whole mess, from the front office to the sideline leadership to a roster of swingmen-by-the-dozen has an utterly go-nowhere feel to it.

What a shame.

Sacramento: You give up on the potential and relatively cheap contract of John Salmons why?

Oh, the recent lottery picks have upside, but no one is building a team around Spencer Hawes and Jason Thompson. And although Kevin Martin still can be deadly with that freakish jump shot, there just isn't a lot otherwise there.

The Brothers Maloof have to begin the cleanup by finding the right coach. Then, in about two or three years, we again can discuss the Kings as a legitimate NBA franchise.


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