APLay Up
D.J. Trahan. Beware. Trahan is 1st in GIR (and ball-striking) and has four top-25s in seven starts in 2009, but his best finish in three starts at Copperhead is a T-52 last year, and he hasn't posted a top-25 in his most recent two outings this year. The moral of this story is to bench him unless you're desperate, in which case you have no one's sympathy since it's only mid-March.
Projection: Top 25
Tim Clark. Because he's so streaky, I always pause when Clark commits to an event where his game matches up nicely. He's currently 2nd in GIR, which is stupid good since he's best known for his putting. His T-11 at the 2004 Transitions is his best finish in four appearances at the event, and he hasn't played it since 2006. Clark has five top-25s in six starts this year, and it's only a matter of time before the stars align for his first PGA Tour victory. His fantasy owners are beginning to wonder if the mojo from his Australian Open title is gone, or if he left it, ahem, Down Under.
Projection: Top 25
Ryuji Imada. He's like a poor man's Kevin Sutherland, which is likely not the backhanded compliment you were expecting to read when you awoke today. After last year's midseason struggles that immediately followed his breakthrough win, he's back to making cuts and cameo appearances on the leader board. He was one of six to finish T-2 a year ago at Copperhead, but is currently 138th in ball-striking. Like an 8-9 game in the NCAA Tournament, can't bet against him; don't bet on him.
Projection: 26+
Jeff Overton. Hope you've enjoyed the ride the last couple of weeks, but it's time to get off. After a T-9 at the Honda and a solo 8th in Puerto Rico, Overton could be overmatched this week. He's 180th in GIR and finished T-69 last year, his only career start in the event.
Projection: 26+
Kevin Streelman. After a T55-T35-MC-MC-MC start to his season, Streelman has roared back with a T-3 at the Mayakoba and a T-13 at the Honda. Sit on your hands this week, however, as he's 183rd in GIR. He also finished 79th at last year's Transitions (70-74-84=MDF).
Projection: 26+
Drop Area
Steve Flesch. Kind of the anti-Bart Bryant in the field. Sits T-20 in GIR, but has an unspectacular record at this event.
Projection: 26+
Brett Quigley. Hopefully, you had Quigs in your lineup last week, because I'm suggesting you keeps your paws off him this week. Despite his T-2 in Puerto Rico, he's 107th in GIR and has missed the cut in his last three visits to Copperhead.
Projection: MC
Michael Campbell. The Kiwi is battling a sore shoulder that plagued him at the end of 2008 and throughout the Desert Swing on the European Tour. He's eligible for all four majors, so this is a tune-up as much as it is a test run, or vice versa. There is absolutely no reason that you should pluck him from your free agent pile.
Projection: MC/WD
Tim Petrovic. If Campbell isn't my slam-dunk of the week, then Petrovic fills the bill. He's 186th in GIR and has missed four cuts entering this week. Moreover, going back five starts at Copperhead, none of his two paychecks included a note on the MEMO line with a reference to a top-35.
Projection: MC
Stephen Leaney. Last and least...due to vertigo, this is his first PGA Tour start since the AT&T National last summer. It's his fourth start worldwide in 2009. He has yet to post a top-25 anywhere since 2007. The only reason he sneaks into the weekend here is because he finished T-8 at Copperhead in the relatively benign conditions in 2007. What can I say, I have a soft spot for the guy.
Projection: 26+
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