OPINION

By Tim Dahlberg

updated 8:52 p.m. ET April 26, 2007

Joe Thomas will be somewhere in the middle of a lake in Wisconsin when his name is called in the NFL draft. Not to worry, though, because the NFL Network plans to have a camera installed on his fishing boat to chronicle the moment for posterity.

It should be a big day for the offensive lineman, who will likely go high in the draft and become an instant millionaire.

And what better way to celebrate than trying to catch a walleye or two.

Thomas picked a good day to go fishing, because the lake should be empty. His football-loving neighbors, like millions of other Americans, will be in their armchairs for a big day in front of the TV.

Libation in hand, they’ll watch clocks tick and talking heads talk.

Every 15 minutes or so, someone will go to a podium and make an announcement. A few people will cheer, others will boo.

The talking heads will spend another 15 minutes analyzing what just happened. A player will be shown smiling someplace or walking on stage to put a team hat on his head.

The talking heads will talk some more.

And to think, the late Pete Rozelle thought a fledgling network named ESPN was crazy when it came to him in 1979 and asked if it could televise the league’s annual draft. Rozelle was right about most things NFL, but not he or anyone else thought the draft would grow into something so big that it takes not one, but two, networks to broadcast it.

That’s what will happen this weekend when ESPN and the NFL Network pour their considerable resources into making sure we understand just why the Denver Broncos did what they did with the 86th pick in the draft.

2007 NFL draft coverage Draft HQ: Round-by-round recap, analysis, more Picks by: Player  |  Team  |  Position  |  College Opinion: Raiders, Browns, Giants deliver No Raider doubts on Russell  |  Quinn’s freefall Opinion: Teams passed on players with ‘issues’ Lots of drama  |  Ravens take Heisman winner Lions take another WR  |  Miami fans unhappy Vote: Who will be best pro?  |  Trade rundown   Sound off on NFL message boards  |  MORE

It’s a bit over the top, with cameras on boats and in team huddles, with fan forums to dissect every move. It’s such good theater, though, that people like the ubiquitous Mel Kiper Jr. have actually built careers by becoming draft experts.

Not that they’re always right. Most of the time they’re wrong once they get past the first pick or two.

The consensus this year is that LSU’s JaMarcus Russell will be the No. 1 pick by the Oakland Raiders, who are desperately in need of a quarterback who can throw the ball deep enough to keep Randy Moss interested in the game.

After that, all bets are off. The experts don’t agree on who goes where, and the odds are you could throw darts at names on a board and do just as well.

One Web site even believes a monkey could pick better. Coldhardfootballfacts.com brought Bonzo the Idiot Monkey out of retirement to pick names out of a hat and match them against the so-called expert picks.

Unfortunately, the monkey isn’t real and doesn’t seem terribly talented. He picked LSU wide receiver Dwayne Bowe to go second to the Detroit Lions, when most mock drafts have Bowe being picked midway through the first round.

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