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To stay or to go? That is the question

Most college players should tread carefully when considering NBA

Image: WrightGetty Images
The decision to go to the NBA may be easy for Greg Oden and Kevin Durant, but the picture is a little cloudier for players like North Carolina's Brandan Wright.

North Carolina coach Roy Williams, a member of the Basketball Hall of Fame class for 2007 that was introduced Monday, became disillusioned with the recruiting process several years ago. Now he has a team dominated by freshmen and sophomores. At this point, he really has no idea what his roster will look like next season.

Tyler Hansbrough and Ty Lawson aren’t ready for the NBA yet. Wright may be on the NBA radar screen. But he could really use another year in college to gain the strength he needs to be more physical. His results against Georgetown in the regional final proved that.

The last thing Williams wants is a roster that becomes decimated by the NBA — the kind of experience UConn encountered last year. The Huskies produced four first-round picks and UConn suffered as a result. UConn was young and didn’t reach postseason play for the first time since Jim Calhoun’s first season (1986-87) at UConn.

Georgetown’s concern over losing Green to the pros may have diminished a bit after he barely touched the ball at the Final Four. It’s still possible the Hoyas could lose Green and center Roy Hibbert, who is bigger than Oden and got the Ohio State star in foul trouble in the national semifinals. Both have so much to gain from staying in school and the Hoyas would be a national contender with both back.

Arron Afflalo is projected to go late in the first round, but still announced he was leaving UCLA after his junior season — which makes little sense. The risk of dropping into the second round is too great for a player without a first-round lock. UCLA certainly could use Afflalo’s offense. A third trip to the Final Four might be a charm for both Afflalo and the Bruins.

There are rumors that Kansas freshmen Darrell Arthur and Sherron Collins are considering their options. Neither is close to being ready and it’s up to coach Bill Self to convince them of that.

Julian Wright originally said he was staying, but he announced Monday he was going, after all. If anyone is in a rush to leave Lawrence, it’s guard Brandon Rush. That seems silly too, considering Rush averaged just 13.7 points as a sophomore. He needs to get bigger and more aggressive. He had a terrific NCAA Tournament and finally showed the confidence in his jump shot that Self had been waiting for.

Rush will be a great pro sometime. The question is when.

All the other questions are personal, for Rush, for Wright — even for Oden. And we simply have to wait for their answers.

© 2012 NBC Sports.com  Reprints


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