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Revamped Red Sox are contenders again

Beckett, Schilling are healthy and doing well, and could Clemens be back?

Beckett, SchillingAP
Boston Red Sox pitchers Josh Beckett, left, and Curt Schilling have been dominant thus far this season.

Q. The Astros are playing like champions, yet I do not see the national coverage for them like other teams. I’m not complaining. I think it is wonderful they are staying out of the spotlight and playing their best baseball in years! My question is: If Roger Clemens decides to come back with the Astros, and do his ‘summer training’ in Double-A with his son, can we talk about a second appearance in the World Series?
Richard Stairs, Houston

A. You’re right, Richard, it’s better to stay under the radar. Let the Mets and Cardinals grab all the attention. Meanwhile, the Astros jumped out to the best record in the league, a dramatic difference from last season, when they went 15-30 through 45 games. I’ll admit I picked the Cardinals to win the Central, and the Mets and Braves to make the playoffs, leaving the Astros out. My concerns were that the back of the rotation and the bullpen won’t strong enough to make up for an average offense. But so far, the rotation has the best ERA in the majors, and if Clemens does return, they will have an excellent chance to reach the postseason again and advance. But that’s anything but a certainty, with the Yankees and Red Sox set to offer big money to the Rocket.

Q. Does Mark Prior have anything left for the Cubs? He is such a talent, and so young. I hope he can recover and get back on the mound soon.
— Richard Kagan, Astoria, N.Y.

A. You said it — Prior is a great talent, and young (25). So, yes, I think he has a lot left. A couple of his injuries weren’t arm-related, and the one benefit of not pitching much in the last two seasons (287.1 innings combined in 2004-05) is that his arm has been spared wear-and-tear. He may have been abused in 2003, when his pitch-count totals were too high. But that was three seasons ago, and his disabled-list stints keep mounting at an alarming rate. But I wouldn’t give up on him. He still has plenty of time to put together an excellent career, although his current path more resembles that of Curt Schilling than Greg Maddux. Schilling, 39, made his debut in 1988 with Baltimore, didn’t pitch a full season in the majors until 1992 with Houston, and after 14- and 16-win seasons in 1992-93, suffered through three more injury-shortened, ineffective seasons before beginning his run of excellence with Philadelphia in 1997. That’s why he is approaching his 200th career win only now. Contrast that to Maddux, 40, who made his debut in 1986, went 8-18 his first two seasons, then began his record stretch of 15-win seasons (including four consecutive Cy Young Awards), and is at 322 victories and counting.

Q. Why do teams rush into long-term contracts with players such as Derrek Lee and David Ortiz? I’m not saying these guys aren’t good, but I don’t expect them to put up the same numbers for the next 4-6 years. When Albert Pujols signed the long-term deal, it made sense.
Sang Woo, British Columbia

A. The Cubs and Red Sox didn’t really rush in. Lee and Ortiz could have become free agents after this season if their teams didn’t pick up 2007 options. So, rather than let the sluggers test the market, both teams locked them up. They did what they had to do, because if they weren’t willing to hand out those types of contracts, somebody else would have. But I get your point. What you can question in both cases is the length of the guaranteed deals. Personally, I think a five-year deal is too long for a player who already has reached his 30th birthday. Lee will get $65 million, and will be in Chicago through 2010, when he will turn 35. Ortiz will get $52 million, and will be in Boston through 2010, when he will turn 35. As we have already seen with Lee, there always is the risk of injury, especially with players over 30 — although in this case, the injury was freakish. But Lee has been one of the game’s most durable players, averaging 159 games per season since 2000, and Ortiz as a designated hitter shouldn’t lose too much time to injury, either.

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Q. When discussing the Cubs’ starting staff, how come the so-called experts disregard Wade Miller? He won 16 games a few years ago with Houston, and has a stellar record against the National League Central. What are your thoughts?
— Verbal Kint, Chicago

A. I mentioned Miller in my preseason preview of the Cubs, and I don’t think he’s a mystery to anybody. Everybody knows what he can do when healthy, but it has been awhile since that was the case. His two best years were 16-8, 3.40 in 2001 and 15-4, 3.28 in 2002, and his last full season was 14-13, 4.13 in 2003. Since then, he’s made only 31 starts over the last two seasons, and coming off surgery, he has just begun to face hitters in batting practice sessions. He could be back in the Cubs’ rotation in a month or so, but you can’t expect him too much from him for awhile. That said, I think Miller (still only 29) was an excellent low-risk pickup by the Cubs, one that could pay off nicely later this season, but more likely, in 2007.

Tony DeMarco writes regularly for NBCSports.com and is a freelance writer based in Denver.


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